Polymarket odds: Anthropic at 98% to top AI by July after $1.5B settlement
Anthropic leads Polymarket odds at 98.45% to have the best AI model by July following a $1.5 billion copyright settlement.Summary
Following a $1.5 billion class-action settlement regarding the training of Claude on copyrighted works, Anthropic has seen a significant surge in Polymarket odds. On the Polymarket market determining which company possesses the best AI model by the end of July 2026, Anthropic currently holds a dominant 98.45% implied probability, significantly outpacing competitors like Google (0.8%) and OpenAI (0.3%).
Despite the overwhelming consensus, market data indicates some recent volatility, with a 2.5 percentage point decline in odds over the last seven days and a historical dip to 84%. The settlement, which involves paying authors after legal fees, is viewed as a major event in the AI industry, potentially representing one of the largest copyright recoveries to date. Traders are closely monitoring whether Anthropic can maintain its near-total dominance or if challengers will gain momentum as the July 31, 2026, resolution date approaches.
(Source：Blockchain News)